Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.682739 5.401910 6.193503 7.129337 8.205481 9.404294 10.841342
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.802725 4.769929 5.924618 7.404377 9.250635 11.478929 14.374388
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.033681 4.095184 5.455886 7.327268 9.834787 13.080509 17.605704
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.668969 3.847857 5.458390 7.817908 11.187680 15.830677 22.723953
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.334595 3.572942 5.365295 8.146139 12.353824 18.488516 28.129536
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.001629 3.235747 5.119012 8.198416 13.110735 20.652528 33.137268
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.640821 2.790450 4.632807 7.795305 13.092811 21.623532 36.439866
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.493104 2.660911 4.618844 8.133765 14.292789 24.656351 43.469409
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.407469 2.620193 4.740812 8.710107 15.963076 28.676585 52.724164
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.277674 2.478665 4.663859 8.918433 17.006226 31.739900 60.709616
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.153719 2.327304 4.544434 9.025232 17.867608 34.573234 68.645257
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.003840 2.101936 4.252283 8.755684 17.965520 35.980167 74.027575
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.861102 1.873015 3.928487 8.392406 17.859571 37.044091 79.028866
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.787220 1.776189 3.857034 8.536647 18.814167 40.360156 89.150553
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.693178 1.620784 3.640541 8.339765 19.017064 42.152173 96.308363
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.664484 1.607455 3.728838 8.827017 20.791952 47.544663 112.179044
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.625835 1.564767 3.745044 9.151967 22.245949 52.427952 127.612980
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.571831 1.476472 3.642934 9.182489 23.013635 55.852848 140.128107
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.495104 1.319356 3.353946 8.714767 22.506388 56.215570 145.282707
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.472829 1.298421 3.395832 9.082169 24.133544 61.949925 164.675747
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.465047 1.314630 3.533778 9.718135 26.543235 69.954286 191.068579
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.438103 1.274293 3.518918 9.945906 27.908997 75.481378 211.731196
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.408766 1.222563 3.466115 10.062105 28.989227 80.407081 231.485755